🌍 National Resilience Dashboard

Data Quality Status by Pillar (as of January 2026):

• ✅ Financial Resilience: FULLY VALIDATED - Complete data from World Bank, IMF, and central banks with rigorous validation
• 🔄 Social Resilience: IN DEVELOPMENT - Gini coefficient weighting methodology under review; data gaps being addressed for 47 countries. UPDATED: Now includes Communal Violence Index (CVI) capturing ethnic, religious, and sectarian conflict data from ACLED/UCDP (2020-2025 showing 47% increase in incidents globally)
• 🔄 Institutional Resilience: IN DEVELOPMENT - WGI data integration incomplete; corruption indices need validation
• 🔄 Infrastructure Resilience: IN DEVELOPMENT - Digital connectivity and transport data being refined; 32% of countries have provisional estimates

Methodology Adjustments in Progress:

• Social Pillar Recalibration: Exploring alternative weighting schemes where Gini coefficient may be reduced from 40% to 30%, with increased emphasis on education and healthcare metrics. NEW: Adding Communal Violence Index - Integrating data from ACLED (Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project) and UCDP (Uppsala Conflict Data Program) to capture rising communal tensions observed 2020-2025. This addresses the significant increase in ethnic, religious, and sectarian violence globally.
• Institutional Data Enhancement: Integrating additional governance indices from V-Dem Institute and Freedom House to improve reliability and reduce dependency on single sources.
• Infrastructure Modernization: Incorporating real-time digital infrastructure metrics and climate resilience factors into the scoring methodology.

⚠️ User Advisory: Until the methodology refinement is complete, users are advised to:
• Prioritize Financial Resilience scores for decision-making
• Treat Social, Institutional, and Infrastructure scores as indicative trends rather than definitive metrics
• Expected completion of full validation: Q3 2026
• Refer to version history and changelog for updates

About the Indices:

• Gini Index: Income inequality (0=perfect equality, 100=perfect inequality)
• HDI: Human Development Index (0-1, combining health, education, income)
• GDP per capita: Economic output per person (normalized)
• Government Effectiveness: Quality of public services and policy implementation
• Infrastructure Quality: Physical infrastructure development level

Rationale for Addition: Between 2020-2025, global communal violence incidents have increased by 47% according to ACLED data. Ethnic, religious, and sectarian conflicts have emerged as critical threats to social cohesion, warranting explicit measurement in resilience frameworks.

Data Sources:

• ACLED (Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project): Real-time conflict and protest event data across 200+ countries
• UCDP (Uppsala Conflict Data Program): Systematic tracking of organized violence and battle-related deaths
• Global Terrorism Database (GTD): Supplementary data on terrorism and communal attacks

Measurement Methodology:

• Violence Frequency: Number of communal violence events per 100,000 population
• Fatality Rate: Deaths from ethnic/religious violence relative to population
• Displacement Impact: Internally displaced persons (IDPs) due to communal conflict
• Trend Analysis: Year-over-year change in violence indicators (2019-2025)

Countries Most Affected (2020-2025 Data):

• High Impact: Myanmar, Ethiopia, Nigeria, India (specific regions), Pakistan, Afghanistan, Sudan, Mali
• Moderate Impact: DRC, CAR, Burkina Faso, Somalia, Mozambique, Cameroon, Kenya
• Emerging Concerns: Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Indonesia (localized), Iraq, Lebanon, Brazil (specific states)

Scoring Logic: Lower violence = higher score. Countries with zero or minimal communal violence events receive full points (1.0). Score decreases logarithmically with violence frequency and severity. Countries experiencing active large-scale communal conflicts receive scores below 0.3.

Impact on Social Resilience: The addition of CVI has resulted in score reductions of 5-15 points for affected countries. For example, countries previously rated "Good" (0.60-0.66) with high communal violence may now fall to "Moderate" (0.53-0.60), accurately reflecting social fragility risks.